Populism all the way and not a trace of prudence

Populism all the way and not a trace of prudence

At the end of its five year tenure, the BJP-led NDA government has pressed the 'populism' button, to remove any negativity the small and marginal farmers or the middle class have had from the government.

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Anand Adhikari
  • Feb 1, 2019,
  • Updated Feb 1, 2019 7:59 PM IST

At the end of its five year tenure, the BJP-led NDA government has pressed the 'populism' button, to remove any negativity the small and marginal farmers or the middle class have had from the government. The two big measures -- 'The PM Kisan Yojna' and the tax rebate for the middle class -- will certainly constraint the budget and move resources away from the productive investments.

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The government has already missed the fiscal deficit target of 3.3 per cent in 2018-19. The fiscal deficit has slipped to 3.4 per cent. This is not about missing 2018-19 target, but about the fiscal consolidation in the last 5 years. This government started with a fiscal deficit of 4 per cent plus in the 2014 year. The fiscal deficit touched a high of 5.8 per cent in 2011-12 because of the fiscal stimulus post the global financial meltdown. The fiscal deficit figure was 4.1 per cent in 2014-15, 3.9 per cent in 2015-16, 3.5 per cent in 2016-17, 3.2 per cent in 2017-18 and 3.4 per cent in 2018-19. A sustained higher fiscal deficit gradually creates more inflationary pressure in the economy. India already has higher interest rates, which impacts the competitiveness of the industry.

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Budget 2019: Know the big tax announcements

At the end of its five year tenure, the BJP-led NDA government has pressed the 'populism' button, to remove any negativity the small and marginal farmers or the middle class have had from the government. The two big measures -- 'The PM Kisan Yojna' and the tax rebate for the middle class -- will certainly constraint the budget and move resources away from the productive investments.

Advertisement

The government has already missed the fiscal deficit target of 3.3 per cent in 2018-19. The fiscal deficit has slipped to 3.4 per cent. This is not about missing 2018-19 target, but about the fiscal consolidation in the last 5 years. This government started with a fiscal deficit of 4 per cent plus in the 2014 year. The fiscal deficit touched a high of 5.8 per cent in 2011-12 because of the fiscal stimulus post the global financial meltdown. The fiscal deficit figure was 4.1 per cent in 2014-15, 3.9 per cent in 2015-16, 3.5 per cent in 2016-17, 3.2 per cent in 2017-18 and 3.4 per cent in 2018-19. A sustained higher fiscal deficit gradually creates more inflationary pressure in the economy. India already has higher interest rates, which impacts the competitiveness of the industry.

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Budget 2019: Know the big tax announcements

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