Fitch raises India's GDP forecast to 6.3% from 6% for current fiscal year

Fitch raises India's GDP forecast to 6.3% from 6% for current fiscal year

The growth forecast compares with 7.2 per cent GDP expansion in FY23. In the previous fiscal year (FY22), the economy had grown 9.1 per cent.

Earlier in March, Fitch had lowered its forecast for 2023-24 to 6 per cent from 6.2 per cent
Business Today Desk
  • Jun 22, 2023,
  • Updated Jun 22, 2023, 12:47 PM IST

Fitch Ratings on June 22 raised its forecast for India's economic growth to 6.3 per cent for current fiscal year 2023-24 from 6 per cent it had predicted previously.

This is primarily because of a stronger outturn in the first quarter and near-term momentum.

The growth forecast compares with 7.2 per cent GDP expansion in FY23. In the previous fiscal year (FY22), the economy had grown 9.1 per cent.

"India's economy has been showing broad-based strength - with GDP up by 6.1 per cent year-on-year in 1Q23 (January-March) and autosales, PMI surveys and credit growth remaining robust in recent months - and we have raised our forecast for the fiscal year ending in March 2024 (FY23-24) by 0.3 percentage points to 6.3 per cent," the rating agency said.

Earlier in March, Fitch had lowered its forecast for 2023-24 to 6 per cent from 6.2 per cent citing headwinds from elevated inflation and interest rates along with subdued global demand.

It estimated a growth of 6.5 per cent each for 2024-25 and 2025-26 fiscal years.

The rating agency, while stating that the GDP growth in January-March was higher than expected, said there has been a recovery in manufacturing, after two consecutive quarterly contractions, a boost from construction and an increase in farm output.

In expenditure terms, GDP growth was driven by domestic demand and a boost from net trade.

(With inputs from PTI)

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