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'2025’s fiery warning': Two restless volcanoes could disrupt Earth’s balance

Produced by: Mohsin Shaikh

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Eruption Concerns

Yellowstone and Axial Seamount are making headlines in 2025 due to increased activity, fueling speculation about possible eruptions.

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Yellowstone’s History

Yellowstone last erupted 640,000 years ago, leaving a massive crater and spreading volcanic ash across the U.S.

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Magma Depth

Scientists estimate Yellowstone's magma lies 4 to 47 kilometers below the surface, with reservoirs dispersed rather than concentrated.

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Geophysical Insights

A U.S. Geological Survey, led by Ninfa Bennington and published in Nature, confirmed less magma than expected in Yellowstone's underground reservoirs.

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Seamount Rising

Axial Seamount, a 2-km-wide underwater volcano, shows signs of an imminent eruption, with its surface swelling to pre-2015 levels.

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Predictive Success

Oregon State University researchers predicted Axial's 2015 eruption by monitoring seafloor cable data, an approach being refined for 2025 forecasts.

Credit: University of Washington

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AI Analysis

Scientists like Valerio Acocella are incorporating artificial intelligence to detect patterns in volcanic activity and enhance prediction accuracy.

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Nature’s Risks

While patterns help forecast eruptions, Acocella warns of the unpredictable nature of volcanoes, which can defy expectations.

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Eruption Likelihood

Yellowstone's eruption remains extremely unlikely in 2025, but Axial Seamount’s activity signals a higher probability of eruption this year.