Dawn in the dusk
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Till September, it was the best performing stock on the Indian markets for 2008. Even today, although Sun Pharmaceuticals’ share price is down by a third from its peak, it has still fallen less than the Sensex, which is off its peak by 60 per cent. If Sun Pharma is outperforming the broader market, that’s because there are few Indian companies that are able to consistently turn out growth rates of 30 per cent, even during a downtrend.
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The segment on which Shanghvi is perhaps most optimistic is export of branded drugs. “There is an opportunity to become bigger and we can grow by 40 per cent over the next 4-5 years,” he says. Here too, R&D plays a critical role.
Another successful gambit of Sun Pharma has been its thrust on inorganic growth. Over the past 12 years, it has acquired eight companies, and has succeeded in making many of them kick in with meaningful contributions to revenues and margins.
One of its successful turnarounds has been the US-based Caraco Pharmaceuticals Labs in the mid-1990s. It’s latest play though, for Taro Pharmaceuticals of Israel, has run into rough weather, with Taro terminating Sun’s proposal a year after it was formalised.
Why Sun Pharma is a winner
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A dampener for Sun Pharma has been the USFDA coming down on its Caraco and withholding marketing approvals for medicines made at its Detroit manufacturing base. That’s an irritant Sun will have to tackle, as 21 out of 103 drugs pending approval in the US are from the Caraco stable. Analysts, like those at ICICI Securities, are hopeful of a “likely resolution of the warning letter (by the USFDA) by the end of the first half of 2009-10”. Till then, there’s little else to indicate that Sun Pharma will forget winning ways.