Weak rupee gives more value for dollars NRIs send home
It's a great time to be a non-resident Indian if you repatriate money to India or invest in the country. A weakening rupee means more value for every dollar NRIs send home.
It's a great time to be a non-resident Indian (NRI) if you repatriate money to India or invest in the country. The rupee has fallen 20 per cent against the US dollar since August 2011, giving you more bang for the buck. One US dollar sent to India was fetching Rs 44 on August 1, 2011. On January 9, 2012, it was getting you Rs 52, a gain of Rs 8.
The rupee has fallen against most major currencies during the period. The decline has been 12 per cent against the pound, 6 per cent against the euro and 21 per cent against the yen.
As an icing on the cake, the Reserve Bank of India has deregulated interest rates on NRI deposits. In response, banks have increased rates on such deposits by up to six percentage points. NRI deposits, which used to earn less than 4 per cent a couple of months ago, are now fetching up to 10 per cent a year.
NRI investors wary of equity markets can now invest their dollar earnings in Indian bank deposits and get close to 7 per cent post-tax returns.
A WINDFALL
Imagine a US-based NRI who pays Rs 40,000 equal monthly installment, or EMI, on a home loan. On August 1, 2011, his monthly outgo was $908. On January 9, 2012, it was $758, a saving of $150 or Rs 7,909.
The same applies if he sends money home. A $1,000 fetched him Rs 44,000 on August 1, but on January 9, 2012, it got him more than Rs 52,000.
Experts say the decline in the rupee is expected to continue due to foreign institutional investor outflows, rising trade deficit and strengthening dollar. Alex Mathew, head of research, Geojit BNP Paribas, says the rupee will fall to 55 against the dollar in the immediate future.
Rounaq D Neroy, senior research analyst, PersonalFN, a financial advisory firm, says, "Unless the macro-economic environment improves, the rupee may remain under pressure."
So, if you are an NRI, you can expect to benefit from a weakening rupee for some more time, provided you keep your money invested in India.
THE REVERSE IMPACT
The trend is not entirely in favour of people based abroad. If you repatriate your rupee investments to the country where you stay, you stand to lose.
For instance, your mutual fund investments worth Rs 1,00,000 converted into US dollars would have got $1,896 on January 9, 2012, as against $2,270 in August 1, 2011.
"Rupee depreciation has eroded the value of NRI investments in India by nearly 20 per cent in dollar terms. The drop in asset prices (equities, real estate) is over and above the losses due to rupee depreciation," says Sachin Shah, fund manager, Emkay Investment Managers.
Also, for resident Indians whose children are studying abroad, the weak rupee adds to the burden as they have to shell out more in rupee terms. The same is true about travellers to foreign destinations.
REASONS FOR INVESTING IN INDIA
To increase dollar inflows and check the decline in the rupee, the RBI recently deregulated the interest rates offered by banks on non-resident external (NRE) and non-resident ordinary rupee (NRO) accounts.
An NRE account is a rupee account from which money can be fully repatriated, that is, sent back to the country of your residence. An NRO account is also a rupee account, but one can repatriate only up to $1 million every year from this account. Foreign currency non-rupee account is the same as the NRE account except that the deposits are in foreign currencies.
"At present, interest rates on NRO accounts are in the range of 8-10 per cent per annum, while that on NRE accounts are up to 10.10 per cent, depending on the tenure. Similarly, even some corporate fixed deposits are offering attractive interest rates, which is a sweetener for NRIs," says Rounaq D Neroy of PersonalFN.
TAXATION ON NRI DEPOSITS
Though interest earned on NRE and FCNR accounts is tax-free in India, the tax rate for interest income from NRO accounts is 30 per cent. However, NRIs living in countries with which India has a Double Taxation Avoidance Agreement (DTAA) can avail of lower tax rates.
For example, India has a DTA agreement with the US. An NRI based in that country has to pay only 15 per cent on interest earned on NRO deposits.
The increase in NRI deposit rates, the 20 per cent rupee depreciation against the dollar and tax benefits under DTA agreements are a once-in-a-lifetime investment opportunity for NRIs. We have illustrated the gains in the table Making Hay.
Fixed deposits are not the only option for NRIs in India. The equity markets have fallen close 20 per cent since the beginning of 2011 and many large and mid-cap stocks are trading 30-50 per cent below their year-ago prices. The net asset values of equity mutual funds are also much lower than last year, making it a good time to invest in Indian equities.
Even the debt space looks attractive with treasury bills and government securities trading at over 8 per cent yield. NRIs can invest indirectly in these securities through debt mutual funds.
EXAMPLE:
The rupee has fallen against most major currencies during the period. The decline has been 12 per cent against the pound, 6 per cent against the euro and 21 per cent against the yen.
As an icing on the cake, the Reserve Bank of India has deregulated interest rates on NRI deposits. In response, banks have increased rates on such deposits by up to six percentage points. NRI deposits, which used to earn less than 4 per cent a couple of months ago, are now fetching up to 10 per cent a year.
NRI investors wary of equity markets can now invest their dollar earnings in Indian bank deposits and get close to 7 per cent post-tax returns.
A WINDFALL
Imagine a US-based NRI who pays Rs 40,000 equal monthly installment, or EMI, on a home loan. On August 1, 2011, his monthly outgo was $908. On January 9, 2012, it was $758, a saving of $150 or Rs 7,909.
Unless the macro-economic environment improves in India, the rupee may continue to be under pressure against all major foreign currencies
Rounaq D Neroy
Senior Research Analyst, PersonalFN
Experts say the decline in the rupee is expected to continue due to foreign institutional investor outflows, rising trade deficit and strengthening dollar. Alex Mathew, head of research, Geojit BNP Paribas, says the rupee will fall to 55 against the dollar in the immediate future.
Rounaq D Neroy, senior research analyst, PersonalFN, a financial advisory firm, says, "Unless the macro-economic environment improves, the rupee may remain under pressure."
So, if you are an NRI, you can expect to benefit from a weakening rupee for some more time, provided you keep your money invested in India.
THE REVERSE IMPACT
The trend is not entirely in favour of people based abroad. If you repatriate your rupee investments to the country where you stay, you stand to lose.
For instance, your mutual fund investments worth Rs 1,00,000 converted into US dollars would have got $1,896 on January 9, 2012, as against $2,270 in August 1, 2011.
"Rupee depreciation has eroded the value of NRI investments in India by nearly 20 per cent in dollar terms. The drop in asset prices (equities, real estate) is over and above the losses due to rupee depreciation," says Sachin Shah, fund manager, Emkay Investment Managers.
Also, for resident Indians whose children are studying abroad, the weak rupee adds to the burden as they have to shell out more in rupee terms. The same is true about travellers to foreign destinations.
REASONS FOR INVESTING IN INDIA
To increase dollar inflows and check the decline in the rupee, the RBI recently deregulated the interest rates offered by banks on non-resident external (NRE) and non-resident ordinary rupee (NRO) accounts.
An NRE account is a rupee account from which money can be fully repatriated, that is, sent back to the country of your residence. An NRO account is also a rupee account, but one can repatriate only up to $1 million every year from this account. Foreign currency non-rupee account is the same as the NRE account except that the deposits are in foreign currencies.
TAXATION ON NRI DEPOSITS
Though interest earned on NRE and FCNR accounts is tax-free in India, the tax rate for interest income from NRO accounts is 30 per cent. However, NRIs living in countries with which India has a Double Taxation Avoidance Agreement (DTAA) can avail of lower tax rates.
For example, India has a DTA agreement with the US. An NRI based in that country has to pay only 15 per cent on interest earned on NRO deposits.
The increase in NRI deposit rates, the 20 per cent rupee depreciation against the dollar and tax benefits under DTA agreements are a once-in-a-lifetime investment opportunity for NRIs. We have illustrated the gains in the table Making Hay.
Fixed deposits are not the only option for NRIs in India. The equity markets have fallen close 20 per cent since the beginning of 2011 and many large and mid-cap stocks are trading 30-50 per cent below their year-ago prices. The net asset values of equity mutual funds are also much lower than last year, making it a good time to invest in Indian equities.
Even the debt space looks attractive with treasury bills and government securities trading at over 8 per cent yield. NRIs can invest indirectly in these securities through debt mutual funds.
EXAMPLE:
Madhu Perikala
