Indian equities have corrected to more reasonable levels but near-term risks from geopolitical tensions and elevated crude prices persist, says Vinod Nair, Head of Research at Geojit Investments.
Meanwhile, with three market closures: Ram Navami, today's Mahavir Jayanti, and the upcoming Good Friday on April 3, falling within a span of just seven days, Kamath earlier noted that such a cluster of holidays almost guarantees a news cycle that can swing markets either way.
The Indian currency hit a record low of 95.14 to the US dollar on Monday.
Indian equity markets are likely to remain volatile in the near term due to geopolitical tensions in West Asia, elevated US bond yields, said Ankur Jhaveri, MD & CEO of Institutional Equities at JM Financial.
The Indian currency ended 50 paise lower at 94.03 to the US dollar against Friday's close of 93.53.
The US currency's index has risen nearly 2% in a month since the war started in West Asia.
The currency opened at 93.83 against the US Dollar against Friday's close of 93.76, falling 1.2% against the dollar, the most since February 2022.
The rupee ended 82 paise lower at a record low of 93.71 against the US dollar on Friday. The currency closed at a record low of 92.89 on Wednesday.
The Indian currency opened at 92.92 against the greenback and soon breached the 93-mark for the first time.
Speaking at an event, Pandey said the ongoing conflict in West Asia, energy disruptions, and rapid shifts in global capital flows have created turbulence across financial markets, but the key test for any system is whether it continues to function smoothly during such stress.
Brent crude oil prices closed above the $100 per barrel mark on Thursday for the first time since August 2022 sending global markets including the US into a tailspin.
Among key benchmarks, the Nifty 50 declined about 4.6%, while the Nifty Smallcap 250 fell 5.1% and the Nifty Midcap 150 dropped 5%. The broader Nifty 500 index has been down 4.8% since the war started.
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Brooks said Brent crude has surged 14% since Friday in a “stunning” rally, while the US dollar has strengthened in a disorderly safe-haven rush. Even gold has fallen against the dollar, highlighting the scale of the currency move, which he called a major shock to global markets.
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Trading in equity markets is a skill-driven profession that demands discipline, risk management and capital protection, not cues from social media, said Milan Parikh of Jainam Broking.
PPFAS Asset Management has highlighted the scale of this rise, noting that the MTF book stood at Rs 24,920 crore in FY23. The jump to Rs 1.16 lakh crore in less than three years underscores how quickly margin-funded trading has gained traction among investors.
JM Financial said the bond markets appear to be detached from the RBI's policy actions since June 2025, as reflected by the widening wedge between the policy rate and benchmark yield.
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The rally in rupee was caused by India–US trade deal that lifted sentiment in the forex market.
Reacting to the Budget proposal on STT, Nithin Kamath argued that higher rates may not meaningfully reduce speculative activity in futures and options (F&O), and could instead distort trading behaviour further in favour of options.




