Research and credit ratings agency Crisil on Wednesday said
India's economic growth is expected to accelerate to 6.7 per cent in 2013-14 on
a revival in consumption.
"India's GDP growth in 2013-14 will be supported by the revival of the private sector consumption growth aided by higher growth in agriculture, high government spending and lower interest rates," Roopa Kudva, managing director and chief executive officer, Crisil, said in the report.
According to the report, core inflation is expected to come down to 7 per cent in the financial year beginning April 1, 2013, against the projected inflation of 7.7 per cent in 2012-13.
"The improved agricultural output, along with a stronger rupee and lower crude oil prices will also help in reducing Wholesale Price Inflation (WPI) to around 7 per cent from 7.7 per cent projected for 2012-13," it said.
Crisil expects that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) would cut interest rates by 75-100 basis points this year on the back of easing inflationary pressure. This would lower retail lending rates and boost
demands in interest rate sensitive segments.
"The likely increase in government spending in the form of higher expenditure on social sector schemes and rural development will be driven by the upcoming general elections in 2014," it said.
Increased welfare
expenditure by the government , lower interest rates, moderation in inflation, and high farm incomes (assuming a normal monsoon) will boost household spending and, thereby, benefit sectors such as consumer durables, hotels and restaurants and financial services, the report said.
"Further, improved external demand, as a result of
marginal recovery of global growth, could raise India's exports, especially in the IT and IT-enabled services sector. We, therefore, expect the services sector to remain healthy at 8 per cent in the next fiscal," it added.
According to the report, the agriculture sector is expected to grow by 3.5 per cent in the 2013-14 financial year.
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